General election in Britain? Will Labour win?

This 29 March 2019 video from the USA says about itself:

Brexit: Will Tories Risk an Election Corbyn Might Win?

A third defeat for Theresa May’s Brexit plan sets up April 12 as the drop-dead date for an unlikely agreement in Parliament, a second referendum, a hard Brexit, or a general election where Jeremy Corbyn will present a progressive vision for Brexit and the future – Leo Panitch joins Paul Jay.

The prospect of leaving the European Union has provoked the deepest crisis of rule in the post-war history of British imperialism. But the great danger is that the working class is not only being prevented from intervening in its own interests, it is being divided against itself and politically subordinated to one or the other of two right-wing pro-capitalist factions. With Prime Minister Theresa May failing three times to secure agreement in parliament for the deal struck with the EU on post-Brexit trading relations, talk of a Conservative leadership contest is now overshadowed by speculation that there might be a second snap general election, following the one held in 2017. If a new election is called, the Tories are predicted to lose power to Labour, which has a five-point lead in the opinion polls and could form a minority government. Pro-Brexit and pro-Remain Tory MPs are united in opposing such a move, fearing that it will lead to unstoppable demands for an end to austerity by the working class … There are genuine and valid reasons why workers support Brexit that do not reflect the racism and nationalism whipped up by the Brexiteer faction of the bourgeoisie, including hostility to the EU’s imposition of austerity and hope that leaving the EU can bring an end to the social devastation wrought by successive Labour and Tory governments. The same holds true for many of those who support Remain, whose opposition to Brexit does not signal an uncritical endorsement of the EU, but rather fear of the economic impact of Brexit and repugnance toward the deliberate encouragement of nationalism and demands for an end to immigration and the free movement of labour, on which many young people depend.: here.

5 thoughts on “General election in Britain? Will Labour win?

  1. Pingback: General election in Britain? Will Labour win? — Dear Kitty. Some blog – Introverted but Socially Concerned

  2. Monday, 1 April 2019


    PM MAY, having suffered her third defeat in the House of Commons over her Brexit deal with the EU is now completely disorientated, while the Tory Party is wallowing in its death agony.

    Despite her support for ‘Remain’, May was appointed Tory leader after the 2016 Referendum ‘Leave’ vote, with the job of riding out the Brexit storm. She began with a brave face becoming a temporary supporter of Brexit, unveiling the policy of ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’.

    She opportunistically called a general election in 2017 so sure was she that she had fooled the public, and would emerge stronger out of it, only to discover that the electorate had seen through her disguise. She was returned with no majority. She had to endure the humiliation of offering the DUP a £1bn bribe (a modern version of ‘Danegeld’) to ensure that the DUP vote would keep her in office.

    She then revealed her essence, going from ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’, to a bad deal is better than no deal’, and finally to ‘no deal’ is out of the question. This is what big business wanted and she delivered. She then agreed the ‘Backstop’ with the EU. It was designed, using the need for no hard border in Ireland, to keep the UK in the EU Customs Union, until the EU agreed to its removal.

    The DUP opposed the ‘Backstop’. She, however, refused to give the EU an ultimatum to dump the Backstop or face ‘no deal’. Not only did she lose the support of the DUP, she also lost the support of the Brexit wing of the Tory Party, who want to make a break with the EU and the European Court of Justice. She has been unable to carry her deal in Parliament. It has now been defeated for the third time.

    Now, unless the UK opts for ‘no deal’ on the new leaving date, on April 12, the UK will be locked into the EU, and will have to accept hosting the European elections, the ultimate humiliation for the 17.4 million majority who voted to leave in the 2016 Referendum.

    The Tory Party is now disintegrating. May has threatened to call another snap General Election. Many Tories are warning that this will see several rival Tory Parties and rival Tory candidates taking the field, and lead to electoral disaster.

    Meanwhile, Leadsom, the leader of the House of Commons has written a letter signed by 10 Cabinet members which insists that the UK must leave the EU no later than May 22nd to avoid having to hold European elections. The signatories include Home Secretary Javid, Foreign Secretary Hunt, Michael Gove and Penny Mordaunt.

    However, yesterday, John Major former Tory PM spoke up about the need for a ‘government of national unity’, to oversee Brexit and agree a Customs Union with the EU. He is not alone. Unite leader Len McCluskey said: ‘The deadlock can only be broken by a General Election or by a free vote across the Commons on the range of options available. On Monday, MPs should agree a new approach based around a Customs Union between Britain and the European Union.’

    With today featuring the beginning of a number of days of ‘indicative voting’, it is expected that Labour and Tory MPs will come up with a joint resolution proposing a permanent Customs Union with the EU and an alignment with its single market. This will be supported by May and Tory Remainers and opposed by Tory Brexiteers. It will need Labour votes to get it passed by the House of Commons.


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