Iranian dissident does not believe in ‘Saudi ambassador’ plot


Ferdows KazemiMs Ferdows Kazemi was born in Iran, in a Muslim family. However, as she grew up, she came to reject religion in all its forms and became an atheist.

That meant she had to flee from the Iranian religious regime. As a refugee, she now lives in the Netherlands and is a columnist for Dutch daily De Volkskrant.

This is a translation from the Dutch of parts of her Volkskrant column of today, about the alleged plot by the Iranian government to murder the Saudi ambassador in the United States, announced with much ballyhoo by the US government and corporate media:

‘I believe Iran,

meaning the Iranian government’s denial of plotting to kill the Saudi ambassador in the USA

for the first time ever’

Ferdows Kazemi – 12/10/11, 15:57

The Iranian writer Ferdows Kazemi does not believe that Iran is behind the foiled terror plot in the U.S. If we assume that Iran intends to commit bombings in America because of its Islamic ideological objectives, why would it deny that? …

The Iranian authorities have been trying for decades to win public opinion in Iran against the West. They take every opportunity wallow in victimhood. I understand from reports that the Islamic regime’s propaganda machine is currently working overtime. Iranians will consider the supposed involvement of their authorities in the planned bombings to be unlikely, however dishonest they may consider their own government.

This creates an atmosphere of distrust towards the U.S.. We must be smart in the West. We must not get carried away in this game, which seems to be more like a Hollywood scenario than like a serious political issue. We need the confidence of the Iranian people. They must not become even more isolated. No isolated nation has ever got democracy. Wake up!

Why Iran assassination plot doesn’t add up for Iran experts: here.

See also here. And here.

Saudi Arabia and the United States stepped up their threats of vengeance against Iran today over an alleged attempt to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the US: here.

10 thoughts on “Iranian dissident does not believe in ‘Saudi ambassador’ plot

  1. Analysis – Questions abound over Iran “plot” to kill Saudi envoy

    Wed Oct 12, 2011 4:33pm GMT

    By Alistair Lyon

    LONDON (Reuters) – You couldn’t make it up — or could you?

    U.S. allegations that an Iranian spy outfit attempted to kill the Saudi ambassador in Washington in a convoluted plot involving a U.S. informant posing as a member of a Mexican drug cartel seem bizarre to say the least.

    Still, Washington says the drama justifies new international sanctions against Iran and Saudi Arabia’s former intelligence chief insists that “somebody in Iran” must pay the price.

    “The burden of proof and the amount of evidence in the case is overwhelming and clearly shows official Iranian responsibility for this,” Saudi Prince Turki al-Faisal said.

    The potential consequences are dire in a tense region where the United States and Israel reserve the right to attack Iran to stop it acquiring a nuclear bomb, a goal Tehran disavows.

    For starters, the row could throttle any slim chance of resuming negotiations to settle the nuclear dispute.

    Saudi-Iranian acrimony has ratcheted up this year, especially since Saudi troops intervened to help Bahrain’s Sunni rulers crush protests led by the island’s Shi’ite majority and fomented, according to Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, by Iran.

    From across the Middle East’s Arab-Persian and Sunni-Shi’ite faultlines, Riyadh also accuses Tehran of inciting unrest among minority Shi’ites in its own oil-rich Eastern Province, and has often urged the United States in the past to attack Iran, according to diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks.

    The plot suspects are Iranian-American Manssor Arbabsiar, 56, arrested on September 29 in New York, and Gholam Shakuri, said to be a member of Quds Force, the covert, operational arm of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. He is thought to be in Iran.

    U.S. evidence rests mainly on Arbabsiar’s alleged confession that he had acted for men he thought were top Quds officials.

    MOTIVE AND MEANS

    Yet questions abound over the putative plot, not least the classic ones of motive and means. Many analysts are sceptical.

    What could Iran hope to gain from an assassination that would have brought fierce retribution? Why try to recruit a hitman from a Mexican drug cartel instead of using its own?

    On the other hand, why would the United States, even with a presidential election looming next year, go public with such accusations unless they were well founded, knowing the impact they could have on an already volatile Middle East?

    “Killing the Saudi envoy in America has no benefit for Iran,” said independent Iranian analyst Saeed Leylaz. “Why should Iran create hostility when the region is boiling?

    Dismissing the “very amateur scenario” as out of character, he said: “Iran might have conducted some political adventurism like denying the Holocaust, but an assassination attempt, particularly in America, is so un-Iranian.”

    It would certainly be a departure for Iran, although it has assassinated its own dissidents abroad since the 1979 Islamic revolution, and it has used Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon and Shi’ite militias in Iraq to further its own aims.

    Decision-making in Tehran is murky and factional rivalry is rife. But the idea that rogue Quds elements could concoct such a momentous plot seems a stretch. That Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would authorise it seems more so.

    “The United States would not blame the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) without substantial evidence,” argued U.S.-based global intelligence company Stratfor.

    “However, this plot seems far-fetched considering the Iranian intelligence services’ usual methods of operation and the fact that its ramifications would involved substantial political risk,” it added.

    Former CIA agent Robert Baer poured scorn on the reported Iranian conspiracy. “This stinks to holy hell,” he told Britain’s Guardian newspaper. “The Quds Force are very good. They don’t sit down with people they don’t know and make a plot. They use proxies and they are professional about it.”

    CONSEQUENCES UNCLEAR

    How this lurid episode in the adversarial relationships between Iran, the United States and its Saudi ally will play out in a Middle East already in turmoil is not yet clear.

    Iran’s parliamentary speaker, Ali Larijani, said the “fabricated allegations” were a U.S. bid to divert attention from Arab uprisings that Iran says were inspired by its own Islamic revolution which toppled the U.S.-backed Shah in 1979.

    Tehran has watched in glee as popular revolts have ousted U.S. allies in Egypt and Tunisia, even if Islam has not been the overt driving force behind the surge of Arab unrest – it may have more in common with Iran’s own street protests against President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s disputed re-election in 2009.

    Iran, however, is disconcerted by the upheaval in Syria, its only solid Arab ally and overland link to Hezbollah.

    The fall of President Bashar al-Assad would damage Iran’s “resistance” axis and perhaps strengthen Saudi Arabia and Turkey, its main Sunni rivals for influence in the Middle East.

    Major General Qasem Soleimani, the head of the Quds Force, is already on a U.S. sanctions list for allegedly supporting Assad’s violent six-month-old crackdown on dissent.

    Nevertheless, it seems doubtful that any of the protagonists would want to use the alleged Iranian plot as a pretext for all-out confrontation in a region the world depends on for oil.

    Given that no one was hurt, Iran, the United States and Saudi Arabia may avert any violent fallout — although Washington clearly intends to push for further international punishment of Iran for its defiance of U.S. policy.

    “More U.S. sanctions will be about the limit of it,” said Alastair Newton, a former senior British Foreign Office official and now senior political analyst for Japanese bank Nomura. “The U.S. case hardly looks solid, either, so let’s wait and see.”

    U.S. officials have themselves acknowledged that the details of the plot smack of a Hollywood script, with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton jesting: “Nobody could make that up, right?”

    (Additional reporting by Parisa Hafezi in Tehran, Peter Apps and Dmitry Zhdannikov in London, and Washington/New York bureaux; Editing by Alastair Macdonald)

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  2. Iraq – Afghanistan – Libya

    NOW IRAN

    LIES, LIES & MORE PENTAGON LIES!

    SIGN THE ONLINE PETITION DEMANDING AN END TO THE PHONY WAR HYPE FABRICATED ACCUSATIONS AGAINST IRAN! at stopwaroniran.org/petition.shtml

    A worsening economic crisis; three disastrous wars that have killed millions of people and cost trillions of dollars stolen from essential programs for OIL, OIL, OIL and the U.S. corporate drive for markets, profit and empire – this is why the U.S. government has FALSELY accused the Iranian government of sponsoring a terrorist plot in the United States.

    Washington’s campaign against Iran for an alleged assassination plot lacks evidence and fails every test of logic The U.S government is making unbelievable, far-tetched allegations that somehow the Iranian government was involved in a bizarre plot to assassinate the Saudi Arabian ambassador in Washington. Anyone capable of independent thought has raised questions as to its truth. So why is the U.S. government desperate to use an unbelievable pretext to begin a campaign of sanctions and possible war against Iran?

    The accusation comes as militant mass actions spurred by austerity and mass suffering at the hands of corporate greed are literally sweeping the globe. The Occupy Wall Street movement has captured peoples’ imagination everywhere. Within the U.S. over 110 ongoing occupations and 1,454 support actions have been reported, while mass uprisings are continuing across the Middle East, Europe, and Latin America.

    The wild and fabricated charge against Iran has been rolled out in an all too familiar pattern which was used to hype the wars against Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya: unfounded charges with no evidence, high level leaks, scripted quotes about threats to national security from top officials, calls for stricter sanctions, and military retaliation. All is repeated by a frenzied, coordinated media (big business corporate media tied to the military) campaign. The point is to set the stage in the minds of millions of people who are now rising up in righteous anger against the Wall Street banks and the U.S. Government that their enemy is somewhere else, rather than right here at home.

    NO WAR AGAINST IRAN,

    NO MORE WARS!!!

    While the U.S. accuses Iran of terrorism, in fact the U.S. government and its allies have been carrying out a large scale program of deadly drone attacks against Pakistan, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen, along with terror against Iran including assassinating four Iranian scientists and imprisoning a large number of kidnapped Iranian citizens in the U.S. The financial assets of the Iranian government and its people have been seized and are being held in U.S. banks for their use.

    Join people around the world in opposing another criminal U.S. war.

    SIGN THE ONLINE PETITION DEMANDING AN END TO THE PHONY WAR HYPE FABRICATED ACCUSATIONS AGAINST IRAN! at stopwaroniran.org/petition.shtml
    http://www.StopWarOnIran.org

    Join actions in support of Occupy Wall Street all across the country.

    http://www.OccupyTogether.org

    Join coordinated national antiwar demonstrations on Sat. Oct 15.

    http://www.UNACpeace.org

    We need Jobs, Education, Health Care and Housing, NOT War!

    http://www.IACenter.org

    Like

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